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Free tools

Betting calculators

The four pieces of arithmetic behind value betting and arbitrage, each on its own page with the method written out. No account, no sign-up, nothing sent anywhere — it all runs in your browser.

Pick a calculator

The order they go in

They are four steps of one process rather than four unrelated tools, and the sequence is what makes any of it work:

  1. De-vig a sharp price.Take Pinnacle's market and remove the margin — that gives you a fair probability, which is the closest thing to a true probability available for free. No-vig calculator.
  2. Compare it against a softer book. If the soft price is longer than the fair price, the bet is +EV. Expected value calculator.
  3. Decide the stake. Size it against your bankroll and the size of the edge, not against how much you like it. Kelly calculator.
  4. Or skip the estimate entirely. When two books disagree enough that every outcome can be backed profitably, no probability is needed at all. Arbitrage calculator.

GoldEdge runs all four continuously across Pinnacle, Bet365, Betano and Stake — the odds comparison board is public if you want to see the input data without an account.