The sharp reference
Pinnacle odds
How Pinnacle compares today
Measured 31 Oct, 17:36 GMT on upcoming matches.
| Sport | Matches | Avg margin | Vs market | Best price | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Football | 956 | 7.4% | −2.9 pts | 36% | the cheapest of 19 |
| Tennis | 38 | 4.6% | −2.2 pts | 49% | the cheapest of 18 |
| Basketball | 300 | 9.3% | +0.8 pts | 15% | 18th-cheapest of 19 |
On 940 football matches it shared with at least two other bookmakers, Pinnacle's margin was 2.9 points below the market average (the cheapest of 19), and its price was the best on offer for 36% of outcomes.
On 36 tennis matches it shared with at least two other bookmakers, Pinnacle's margin was 2.2 points below the market average (the cheapest of 18), and its price was the best on offer for 49% of outcomes.
On 285 basketball matches it shared with at least two other bookmakers, Pinnacle's margin was 0.8 points above the market average (18th-cheapest of 19), and its price was the best on offer for 15% of outcomes.
“Vs market” is Pinnacle's margin minus the average margin of the same matches, so books are compared on equal terms. The method and every other bookmaker are on the bookmaker comparison.
What GoldEdge does with Pinnacle
| Role | Sharp reference (the fair line) |
|---|---|
| Value bets | No — it is the reference |
| Arbitrage | Yes |
| Horse racing | No |
| Sports | Football, tennis, basketball |
- Pinnacle is GoldEdge's sharp reference. Its prices, with the bookmaker margin removed, are the fair line every value bet on the site is measured against — so there are no value bets at Pinnacle itself.
- Its tennis money line has action once a set has been completed if a player retires. Stake and Bet365 void instead, so a tennis arbitrage only ever pairs Pinnacle with books that settle the same way.
- The Pinnacle feed GoldEdge reads carries no both-teams-to-score and no second-half markets before kick-off, so those markets are compared across the other bookmakers only.
- A Pinnacle price can be one leg of an arbitrage, but GoldEdge has no link into Pinnacle's site, so that leg is shown without one.
Where to see Pinnacle prices
Frequently asked questions
Does GoldEdge compare Pinnacle odds?
Yes. Pinnacle's prices are on GoldEdge's odds pages beside every other bookmaker's, for football, tennis and basketball. Right now it prices 1294 upcoming matches.
Does Pinnacle have good odds?
On 940 football matches it shared with at least two other bookmakers, Pinnacle's margin was 2.9 points below the market average (the cheapest of 19), and its price was the best on offer for 36% of outcomes. On 36 tennis matches it shared with at least two other bookmakers, Pinnacle's margin was 2.2 points below the market average (the cheapest of 18), and its price was the best on offer for 49% of outcomes. On 285 basketball matches it shared with at least two other bookmakers, Pinnacle's margin was 0.8 points above the market average (18th-cheapest of 19), and its price was the best on offer for 15% of outcomes. Figures are recalculated every few minutes on the matches every book prices, so they move with the market.
What is Pinnacle's margin?
On upcoming matches it prices, Pinnacle's average main-market margin is 7.4% in football, 4.6% in tennis, 9.3% in basketball. The margin is the amount the implied probabilities of a market's outcomes add up to beyond 100%.
Why is Pinnacle used as the reference?
Pinnacle runs low margins, takes large bets and moves its prices on information quickly, so its line, with the margin removed, is the best public estimate of each outcome's true probability. Every value bet on GoldEdge is a price elsewhere that beats Pinnacle's fair price — so there are no value bets at Pinnacle itself.
Is Pinnacle used for arbitrage on GoldEdge?
Yes. Pinnacle's prices can be a leg of a pre-match or in-play arbitrage, provided both books settle the market the same way.
Other bookmakers
For research, not betting advice. Positive expected value is an edge across many bets, never a prediction about one. Bet only what you can afford to lose. 18+.